Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 3.042270 3.512415 4.027766 4.634143 5.327670 6.095687 7.010300
2025-02-09 2.375246 2.987780 3.715056 4.640566 5.785363 7.153310 8.910400
2025-02-16 1.908073 2.588311 3.454596 4.635028 6.197756 8.191542 10.924078
2025-02-23 1.516183 2.202655 3.134109 4.483978 6.383096 8.951676 12.680366
2025-03-02 1.201744 1.859262 2.804725 4.253988 6.408527 9.480077 14.175357
2025-03-09 1.024527 1.678251 2.668912 4.266228 6.761275 10.489471 16.456698
2025-03-16 0.856358 1.480125 2.473038 4.151392 6.896394 11.180584 18.335029
2025-03-23 0.788825 1.430888 2.499052 4.382521 7.591882 12.798240 21.825671
2025-03-30 0.716106 1.359848 2.476449 4.525317 8.153551 14.256350 25.216098
2025-04-06 0.634182 1.258561 2.385870 4.534802 8.482680 15.355790 28.116974
2025-04-13 0.532637 1.104234 2.177945 4.303105 8.350831 15.639496 29.619901
2025-04-20 0.493241 1.063520 2.173504 4.445605 8.914839 17.207595 33.580100
2025-04-27 0.472166 1.058688 2.241320 4.744197 9.826610 19.540211 39.270701
2025-05-04 0.432129 1.007956 2.211084 4.844116 10.364182 21.230831 43.938150
2025-05-11 0.392300 0.951199 2.160330 4.894497 10.807418 22.786411 48.515249
2025-05-18 0.343155 0.865182 2.034800 4.767892 10.865107 23.576552 51.636058
2025-05-25 0.293801 0.770111 1.875061 4.542385 10.678427 23.837146 53.676250
2025-06-01 0.267793 0.727480 1.828442 4.566442 11.044139 25.297389 58.418933
2025-06-08 0.236357 0.665779 1.727996 4.450234 11.075052 26.033546 61.657347
2025-06-15 0.228991 0.665822 1.777271 4.701292 11.994057 28.834136 69.800634
2025-06-22 0.216890 0.651064 1.787442 4.856487 12.700993 31.224547 77.249939
2025-06-29 0.198999 0.617138 1.743577 4.868090 13.055813 32.832859 83.036407
2025-07-06 0.171927 0.552026 1.607895 4.620867 12.727407 32.782985 84.857239